Why the Gators will roll over this Tide

I'm sure most of you know that I favor the Gators in today's game. I'm sure you've heard all kinds of reasons that the Gators will lose, but I'll show you why they have the statistical advantage. I've heard some crazy stuff this week, like Alabama will win because they have won 3 games under 7 points and Florida is 0-1 in games in that window. Nevermind that it is perfectly possible that the SEC Championship is spread by more than 7 points, and we know how impressive Florida is in those games.

But looking at the numbers will prove why the Gators will win. On offense, the Gators outmatch the Tide in almost every statistical category. While the Crimson Tide has the two leading rushers individually, the Gators have rushed for more as a team and have 10 more touchdowns. The pundits have been making a big deal about how electric Glen Coffee and Mark Ingram are, and indeed they are both playmakers, but it will be Florida's depth and diversity that will win out. Florida has speed up the middle, speed on the wings for reverses and Tim Tebow powering his way though the middle.

In the passing game, Florida also leads statistically, but will win because of intangibles. Tebow dominates John Parker Wilson in total yards, yards per attempt, touchdowns, rating, completion percentage, and the all important interceptions thrown. It is this last statistic that points to the difference in the two quarterbacks. Throughout their careers Tebow has led in touchdown-to-interception ratio. The difference on Saturday night will be one mistake, Brandon Spikes will intercept one of Wilson's passes in the first half, and Alabama will not be able to keep scoring with the Gators.

Here's my first official prediction post, but I'm pretty confident on this one. Enjoy the game guys.