I'm sure most of you know that I favor the Gators in today's game. I'm sure you've heard all kinds of reasons that the Gators will lose, but I'll show you why they have the statistical advantage. I've heard some crazy stuff this week, like Alabama will win because they have won 3 games under 7 points and Florida is 0-1 in games in that window. Nevermind that it is perfectly possible that the SEC Championship is spread by more than 7 points, and we know how impressive Florida is in those games.
But looking at the numbers will prove why the Gators will win. On offense, the Gators outmatch the Tide in almost every statistical category. While the Crimson Tide has the two leading rushers individually, the Gators have rushed for more as a team and have 10 more touchdowns. The pundits have been making a big deal about how electric Glen Coffee and Mark Ingram are, and indeed they are both playmakers, but it will be Florida's depth and diversity that will win out. Florida has speed up the middle, speed on the wings for reverses and Tim Tebow powering his way though the middle.
In the passing game, Florida also leads statistically, but will win because of intangibles. Tebow dominates John Parker Wilson in total yards, yards per attempt, touchdowns, rating, completion percentage, and the all important interceptions thrown. It is this last statistic that points to the difference in the two quarterbacks. Throughout their careers Tebow has led in touchdown-to-interception ratio. The difference on Saturday night will be one mistake, Brandon Spikes will intercept one of Wilson's passes in the first half, and Alabama will not be able to keep scoring with the Gators.
Here's my first official prediction post, but I'm pretty confident on this one. Enjoy the game guys.
December 6, 2008
November 24, 2008
Apologies and a Prediction
My apologies to the OU football team, who absolutely manhandled the Texas Tech Red Raiders on Saturday. I loved watching the game, and even though I was utterly shocked, I have to say I was happy with the result. I was most impressed by three things: The Sooners ability to dominate both the offensive and defensive lines, the ability to keep their running game going throughout the game, and Sam Bradford's ability to manage the game.
Need proof that the Sooners lines dominated the game? Just look at the difference in rushing yards: OU led Texas Tech in rushing a mere 298 to 45 yards. Pretty nice day at work. The offensive line pummelled the Raiders back frequently leading their running backs to the third level safeties. I had predicted that the offensive line would only get the chance to run block for a drive or two. At the end of the game, the only running play that didn't work was a toss play that DeMarco Murray slipped on trying to cutback.
When Sam Bradford dropped back to pass, the offensive line gave him an eternity to survey the field. Bradford could have worn his uniform to the afterparty it was so clean, it's a miracle the guy even broke a sweat. Not only did the line give Bradford time, they gave him space. Throughout the game, they gave him several lanes to throw into, and Bradford definitely took advantage throwing for 304 yards and four touchdowns.
On the defensive line OU was able to get pressure without bringing too many blitzes, and when they did put the pressure on, it got to Harrell for 3 sacks. Most importantly, the entire defense tackled well. Texas Tech has made a living all year off screen passes extended into big plays. Holding Michael Crabtree without a touchdown was incredible as well.
And now, time for a prediction: If the Sooners and Florida both get in and win their respective conference title games, their meeting in the national championship could be one of the best games ever. Both teams are on incredibly hot runs and it's hard to see one of them stumbling. If this game is indeed the championship, I certainly won't complain.
Need proof that the Sooners lines dominated the game? Just look at the difference in rushing yards: OU led Texas Tech in rushing a mere 298 to 45 yards. Pretty nice day at work. The offensive line pummelled the Raiders back frequently leading their running backs to the third level safeties. I had predicted that the offensive line would only get the chance to run block for a drive or two. At the end of the game, the only running play that didn't work was a toss play that DeMarco Murray slipped on trying to cutback.
When Sam Bradford dropped back to pass, the offensive line gave him an eternity to survey the field. Bradford could have worn his uniform to the afterparty it was so clean, it's a miracle the guy even broke a sweat. Not only did the line give Bradford time, they gave him space. Throughout the game, they gave him several lanes to throw into, and Bradford definitely took advantage throwing for 304 yards and four touchdowns.
On the defensive line OU was able to get pressure without bringing too many blitzes, and when they did put the pressure on, it got to Harrell for 3 sacks. Most importantly, the entire defense tackled well. Texas Tech has made a living all year off screen passes extended into big plays. Holding Michael Crabtree without a touchdown was incredible as well.
And now, time for a prediction: If the Sooners and Florida both get in and win their respective conference title games, their meeting in the national championship could be one of the best games ever. Both teams are on incredibly hot runs and it's hard to see one of them stumbling. If this game is indeed the championship, I certainly won't complain.
November 21, 2008
On the Couch: Week 2
Thank God homework is over! I'm ready to veg on the couch for another weekend, and it's gonna be a good one! Here's On the Couch for week 2:
Saturday: Putting on Team Colors
My Hawkeyes play fellow 7-4 Minnesota for a potential bowl seed this weekend, so I'm wearing Black and Gold tomorrow, but there are tons of great games on Saturday. Here are some of the highlights.
In the noon hour, the Ohio State-Michigan game lacks some of its normal importance. But if Michigan State beats Penn State, it's really important that the Buckeyes, led by a constantly improving Terrell Pryor, secure this win.
Later, things begin to heat up. Boston College at Wake Forest should be a hotly contested game, but I think the Eagles win a nail-biter. The aforementioned Penn State-Michigan State game will hang on the Nittany Lions ability to stop Javon Ringer. If they can, the Rose Bowl is beckoning for 'ole Joe Pa and company. And finally in this time slot, the most likely overlooked matchup of Air Force and TCU. Both teams have competed well in the Mountain West Conference, and both deserve bowl bids, so we'll see which one wants it most.
A little bit later, two more small conference teams match up with #14 BYU coming to #7 Utah in hopes of busting Utah's hopes of crashing the BCS. Some have mentioned BYU throwing this game for the conference. Don't count on it, this team will gut it out against the Utes, and I think Max Hall leads the Cougars to the upset.
In addition to the Big East showdown between Pittsburgh and Cincinatti, the night is highlighted by the game we have all been anticipating for two weeks now...the shootout in Norman as the Red Raiders draw the Sooners on their way to the Big 12 Championship. Tackling will be the key for the Sooners, but I think that the Raiders prevail because the Sooners haven't proven that they can be a pass only team like the Raiders have. Hint to Coach Stoops: If you have the choice, receive and take advantage of your run game early, because once Harrell gets the ball the game will revert to passing.
Sunday: Team Colors again!
Ok. So there's not much to get excited about as a Chiefs fan this year. Yes I know that Tyler Thigpen has been more consistent than we could have dreamed, but let's not get hasty. Look at Derek Anderson this year for proof, and the Chiefs don't have a Brady Quinn waiting in the wings. But Sunday's action will far exceed anything the Chiefs will do this weekend.
The noon hour is headed by the Jets-Titans matchup that will give the improved Jets defensive line its tallest task of the year in controlling both Chris Johnson and Lendale White. Johnson hasn't had great weeks the last couple weeks, but if he can get out to the edge, he may have a big game. New England at Miami is also an intriguing matchup during the noon hour and the Eagles need a win against the Ravens to stay alive in the NFC East.
Two great games follow in the 3 o'clock hour with the New York Football Giants visiting the Arizona Cardinals and the Atlanta Falcons trying to avenge their first home loss against the division leading Carolina Panthers.
Sunday Night will not disappoint as rivals San Diego and Indianapolisget the nod for Game of the Weekend. Both teams are fighting to stay alive in the playoff hunt. Although the game is probably more critical for San Diego, Indianapolis has an uphill climb in its division as well.
Well sports fans! That's the weekend for you... Enjoy!
Saturday: Putting on Team Colors
My Hawkeyes play fellow 7-4 Minnesota for a potential bowl seed this weekend, so I'm wearing Black and Gold tomorrow, but there are tons of great games on Saturday. Here are some of the highlights.
In the noon hour, the Ohio State-Michigan game lacks some of its normal importance. But if Michigan State beats Penn State, it's really important that the Buckeyes, led by a constantly improving Terrell Pryor, secure this win.
Later, things begin to heat up. Boston College at Wake Forest should be a hotly contested game, but I think the Eagles win a nail-biter. The aforementioned Penn State-Michigan State game will hang on the Nittany Lions ability to stop Javon Ringer. If they can, the Rose Bowl is beckoning for 'ole Joe Pa and company. And finally in this time slot, the most likely overlooked matchup of Air Force and TCU. Both teams have competed well in the Mountain West Conference, and both deserve bowl bids, so we'll see which one wants it most.
A little bit later, two more small conference teams match up with #14 BYU coming to #7 Utah in hopes of busting Utah's hopes of crashing the BCS. Some have mentioned BYU throwing this game for the conference. Don't count on it, this team will gut it out against the Utes, and I think Max Hall leads the Cougars to the upset.
In addition to the Big East showdown between Pittsburgh and Cincinatti, the night is highlighted by the game we have all been anticipating for two weeks now...the shootout in Norman as the Red Raiders draw the Sooners on their way to the Big 12 Championship. Tackling will be the key for the Sooners, but I think that the Raiders prevail because the Sooners haven't proven that they can be a pass only team like the Raiders have. Hint to Coach Stoops: If you have the choice, receive and take advantage of your run game early, because once Harrell gets the ball the game will revert to passing.
Sunday: Team Colors again!
Ok. So there's not much to get excited about as a Chiefs fan this year. Yes I know that Tyler Thigpen has been more consistent than we could have dreamed, but let's not get hasty. Look at Derek Anderson this year for proof, and the Chiefs don't have a Brady Quinn waiting in the wings. But Sunday's action will far exceed anything the Chiefs will do this weekend.
The noon hour is headed by the Jets-Titans matchup that will give the improved Jets defensive line its tallest task of the year in controlling both Chris Johnson and Lendale White. Johnson hasn't had great weeks the last couple weeks, but if he can get out to the edge, he may have a big game. New England at Miami is also an intriguing matchup during the noon hour and the Eagles need a win against the Ravens to stay alive in the NFC East.
Two great games follow in the 3 o'clock hour with the New York Football Giants visiting the Arizona Cardinals and the Atlanta Falcons trying to avenge their first home loss against the division leading Carolina Panthers.
Sunday Night will not disappoint as rivals San Diego and Indianapolisget the nod for Game of the Weekend. Both teams are fighting to stay alive in the playoff hunt. Although the game is probably more critical for San Diego, Indianapolis has an uphill climb in its division as well.
Well sports fans! That's the weekend for you... Enjoy!
November 18, 2008
Scrappy
Dustin Pedroia was given the AL MVP earlier today. Naturally, as a Red Sox fan I was happy, but I wasn't originally going to write anything about him, 'til I thought of how perfectly Pedroia's play goes with the scout oath's opening line..."On my honor I will do my best".
This is possibly the most contested choice of all the postseason awards, but I don't mean this post to be a Red Sox fan's defense of his beloved shortstop. Instead I just want to simply highlight some of the things that make Pedroia a great player from a scouter's perspective.
There is a common perception that people "do their best" because they can't do things well. In some cases this is true. One of the greatest things I think I ever learned in scouts was that my "best" was always more than expected and would always lead me to success. Pedroia is the perfect example of this. His position as a leader on his team is mainly due to the constant effort he provides. And this effort has paid off in production as well.
Pedroia proves that effort is essential to leadership. So many times leadership is perceived as delegation, and while leaders inevitably have to be able to delegate, the ability to delegate or the charisma to convince someone else to do the work will always fall short. There is something endearing in public figures that seem to put so much effort into whatever they do, and Pedroia is rightly considered one of the best role models for young athletes.
Finally, a note on the general use of the phrase "do your best". Like the words "I love you," this phrase can be easily overused. Pedroia's effort has separated him from most others in baseball, but he also makes a great effort to better his team off the field. And if you don't believe it's about the team, consider that he gave back his last two years of college scholarship at Arizona State, so that his coach could recruit more pitching prospects (oh by the way, he started every game and batted .384 overall), according to a Sept. 28th article in the Boston Globe. As opposed to athletes like ex-footballer Tiki Barber or Pedroia's ex-teammate Manny Ramirez, Pedroia has shown that he will always be working toward the success of the team.
This is possibly the most contested choice of all the postseason awards, but I don't mean this post to be a Red Sox fan's defense of his beloved shortstop. Instead I just want to simply highlight some of the things that make Pedroia a great player from a scouter's perspective.
There is a common perception that people "do their best" because they can't do things well. In some cases this is true. One of the greatest things I think I ever learned in scouts was that my "best" was always more than expected and would always lead me to success. Pedroia is the perfect example of this. His position as a leader on his team is mainly due to the constant effort he provides. And this effort has paid off in production as well.
Pedroia proves that effort is essential to leadership. So many times leadership is perceived as delegation, and while leaders inevitably have to be able to delegate, the ability to delegate or the charisma to convince someone else to do the work will always fall short. There is something endearing in public figures that seem to put so much effort into whatever they do, and Pedroia is rightly considered one of the best role models for young athletes.
Finally, a note on the general use of the phrase "do your best". Like the words "I love you," this phrase can be easily overused. Pedroia's effort has separated him from most others in baseball, but he also makes a great effort to better his team off the field. And if you don't believe it's about the team, consider that he gave back his last two years of college scholarship at Arizona State, so that his coach could recruit more pitching prospects (oh by the way, he started every game and batted .384 overall), according to a Sept. 28th article in the Boston Globe. As opposed to athletes like ex-footballer Tiki Barber or Pedroia's ex-teammate Manny Ramirez, Pedroia has shown that he will always be working toward the success of the team.
Minding Your Own Business
Many of you may have seen President-elect Barack Obama's interview on 60 minutes Sunday. Many of you also know that I voted for John McCain. Still, I truly wish our future President the best. Interestingly, the topic of the BCS system arose during Sunday's conversation and surprisingly the future President dived right into an answer.
I will be one of the first to advocate a playoff system in college football, and I agree with President-elect Obama that it would be the ideal situation. But respectfully, isn't that what conference commissioners and school presidents are supposed to decide. I was 100% supportive of the Mitchell Report to clean up baseball, but the BCS system is hardly ruining the entire game of college football as steroids were ruining America's favorite pastime.
I was irritated that the future President said in regards to a playoff system"That [he] would throw [his] weight around a little bit." to make it happen. Why?! What possible need does the President have in addressing a controversial, but functional system for college athletics when the country he is about to govern is in two wars, has a multiple trillion dollar deficit, and is facing one of the worst economic crises in recent history. I just can't comprehend why the President feels that he should get involved in the system.
Furthermore, the eight team playoff system would not be perfect either. What if there are three undefeated teams and six one loss teams at the end of the season? Is there any difference in slighting the number 3 ranked team a chance at a National Championship under the current system than slighting the number 9 team a chance at a playoff? The simple fact is that no system is going to be perfect. Even the College Basketball 65 team bracket has controversy about who gets in and how the teams are seeded, but that doesn't make it reasonable for the federal government to intrude on the process.
President-elect Obama also mentioned shortening the regular season by a game or two. In a lot of cases, certainly last year and most likely this year, the teams playing for the National Championship will most likely be decided in the last two weeks of the season. Why would you shorten the regular season when every game is already important? Furthermore, many of the proposed playoff systems still include most of the lesser bowls, and only change the five BCS bowls. Shortening the regular season would hurt many of the middle-of-the-road teams who are barely bowl-eligible with 6 wins. Many of the teams playing in the lesser bowls (which also bring money to college football) may win their 6th game during the last week of the current season. It only hurts the system to take out games from the season.
While I agree that the primary reason that conference commissioners want to keep the bowl system is because of the revenue generated by the events, why not use that money more productively, perhaps to pay the athletes who earn these schools so much money? Why not give them a cut of jersey profits? Why not come up with a base salary instead of not allowing them to have anything other than a free ride to school? To me these are much more constructive ways of dealing with college football, because they deal with the broader issues with college athletics as a whole. But the people that should be making these decisions are the conference commissioners and the NCAA, not the country's President or Congress.
I will be one of the first to advocate a playoff system in college football, and I agree with President-elect Obama that it would be the ideal situation. But respectfully, isn't that what conference commissioners and school presidents are supposed to decide. I was 100% supportive of the Mitchell Report to clean up baseball, but the BCS system is hardly ruining the entire game of college football as steroids were ruining America's favorite pastime.
I was irritated that the future President said in regards to a playoff system"That [he] would throw [his] weight around a little bit." to make it happen. Why?! What possible need does the President have in addressing a controversial, but functional system for college athletics when the country he is about to govern is in two wars, has a multiple trillion dollar deficit, and is facing one of the worst economic crises in recent history. I just can't comprehend why the President feels that he should get involved in the system.
Furthermore, the eight team playoff system would not be perfect either. What if there are three undefeated teams and six one loss teams at the end of the season? Is there any difference in slighting the number 3 ranked team a chance at a National Championship under the current system than slighting the number 9 team a chance at a playoff? The simple fact is that no system is going to be perfect. Even the College Basketball 65 team bracket has controversy about who gets in and how the teams are seeded, but that doesn't make it reasonable for the federal government to intrude on the process.
President-elect Obama also mentioned shortening the regular season by a game or two. In a lot of cases, certainly last year and most likely this year, the teams playing for the National Championship will most likely be decided in the last two weeks of the season. Why would you shorten the regular season when every game is already important? Furthermore, many of the proposed playoff systems still include most of the lesser bowls, and only change the five BCS bowls. Shortening the regular season would hurt many of the middle-of-the-road teams who are barely bowl-eligible with 6 wins. Many of the teams playing in the lesser bowls (which also bring money to college football) may win their 6th game during the last week of the current season. It only hurts the system to take out games from the season.
While I agree that the primary reason that conference commissioners want to keep the bowl system is because of the revenue generated by the events, why not use that money more productively, perhaps to pay the athletes who earn these schools so much money? Why not give them a cut of jersey profits? Why not come up with a base salary instead of not allowing them to have anything other than a free ride to school? To me these are much more constructive ways of dealing with college football, because they deal with the broader issues with college athletics as a whole. But the people that should be making these decisions are the conference commissioners and the NCAA, not the country's President or Congress.
November 17, 2008
Loyal
I've always liked Jeff Fisher as a coach, and the success of his team this year shouldn't be as big of a surprise as it is being treated, but beyond the playcalling, his loyalty to his team is what makes him such a great coach.
As a scout, I always pledged to be loyal, and one of the greatest examples for other scouts is Jeff Fisher. As the second point in the scout law, loyalty has been a center point of scouting for a long time. Most of the time scouts always approach loyalty as a duty to one's country, but Fisher displays the importance of being loyal to one's employers and to one's employees.
I have always been struck by coaches who stick with a team. The other week, the commentators on the Bears-Titans game mentioned how Fisher had stuck with the Titans franchise as the interim head coach during the move to Nashville even though his office was a trailer and the team did not have its own stadium. Still, Fisher stuck through it and has achieved one of the better records for an interim coach moving to a permanent position. I've always admired people in my life who have been able to stay with a company for a long time and Fisher's accomplishments are quite admirable.
My favorite display of Jeff Fisher's loyalty is how he runs out on the field to check on any injured player. Today a special teams player was injured, and Fisher was out just as the training staff was coming to the player's attention. It was amazing, because this kid hardly ever plays, but Fisher still runs out to make sure he's ok. I've always liked my good bosses, and I'm sure that Coach Fisher's players perform to their highest potential because of his loyalty.
As long as Fisher is around, you really can't count the Titans out of the playoff hunt. And I'm convinced that everyone could take a few life tips from this coach.
As a scout, I always pledged to be loyal, and one of the greatest examples for other scouts is Jeff Fisher. As the second point in the scout law, loyalty has been a center point of scouting for a long time. Most of the time scouts always approach loyalty as a duty to one's country, but Fisher displays the importance of being loyal to one's employers and to one's employees.
I have always been struck by coaches who stick with a team. The other week, the commentators on the Bears-Titans game mentioned how Fisher had stuck with the Titans franchise as the interim head coach during the move to Nashville even though his office was a trailer and the team did not have its own stadium. Still, Fisher stuck through it and has achieved one of the better records for an interim coach moving to a permanent position. I've always admired people in my life who have been able to stay with a company for a long time and Fisher's accomplishments are quite admirable.
My favorite display of Jeff Fisher's loyalty is how he runs out on the field to check on any injured player. Today a special teams player was injured, and Fisher was out just as the training staff was coming to the player's attention. It was amazing, because this kid hardly ever plays, but Fisher still runs out to make sure he's ok. I've always liked my good bosses, and I'm sure that Coach Fisher's players perform to their highest potential because of his loyalty.
As long as Fisher is around, you really can't count the Titans out of the playoff hunt. And I'm convinced that everyone could take a few life tips from this coach.
November 14, 2008
ON THE COUCH: WEEK 1
This week I am introducing a new weekly post: On the Couch. This will highlight the weekend's sporting events and rate each day's total worth to fellow sports fans. My ranking system will include three tiers. First, falling asleep obviously means a lousy day of sports watching; secondly, laying back with a beer will signify an average day, and finally putting on the team colors means a great day in sports.
So without further ado: this week's edition of On the Couch
Saturday: Falling asleep (this will be a long nap)
Usually, there is at least one great matchup in the college football season, especially this late in the year, but I am so bored with this week's matchups. Truthfully the best game may be North Carolina at Maryland because of its ACC implications.
Not a single one of the 11:oo games is worth watching, and the Tar Heels and Terps may be worth skipping too at 2:30. Even the night cap is lowlighted by a Boston College-Florida State matchup, although the recent suspension of 5 FSU wide receivers could make that a closer game.
I've pretty much concluded that Saturday will be my homework day, because the normal routine isn't really worth it.
Sunday: Laying back with a beer
I'm definitely more excited about Sunday's offerings on the tube. In addition to Jimmie Johnson probably wrapping up his third NASCAR Sprint Cup Championship in as many years, there are several great football matchups. I'm predicting some good old fashioned blowouts, and a few hard fought divisional games that have important momentum swings tied to their outcomes.
We'll start with the important divisional games and other games that will affect division leaders.
-Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: I can't wait to see how the Packers defense does against breakout rookie running back Matt Forte, and you know that both teams will leave it all out on the field this week for a share of the lead in the NFC North
-Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts: Yes, I am aware that the Texans have laid clunkers several times this year, but they have also shown flashes of brilliance, and led the Colts earlier this year before the epic collapse of Sage Rosenfels in a 3 minute span. Steve Slaton is dangerous, but I expect Bob Sanders will do just enough to give Indy a solid hold on second place in the AFC South, and put them well on their way to a wild card berth.
-Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: Tough, scrappy game that will make your head hurt just watching it, but the Titans are too strong against the run for the Jaguars to win this game. Amazing stat of the day for the Titans: they have outscored their opponents nearly two-to-one with a 220-117 points for-and-against ratio. If Kerry Collins keeps throwing and Chris Johnson is able to get things restarted after a down game last week (darn him, ruined my fantasy week), this could turn into a blowout, but expect the league to be handing out fines for rough hits on Monday.
-Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins: Clinton Portis may be out, but the Cowboys have more questions than a Peter Jennings round of Jeopardy. The Cowboys running game may be the difference this week in a must win game for America's favorite team.
-San Diego Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers: Both of these teams are fighting for first place in their divisions. Antonio Cromartie will have to break out of his slump and linebacker Shaun Phillips has to get some pressure on Ben Roethlisberger for the Chargers to pull this one off in Pittsburgh.
There could also be some huge blowouts this week.
-New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs: As improved as Tyler Thigpen is at quarterback, Drew Brees will have a field day against the cornerback duo of Maurice Leggett and Brandon Carr. Could he throw for 500 yards? Maybe.
-Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers: No explanation needed, I'm predicting 34-7 at half.
-Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals: Cincinnati is improving, but the Eagles must be peaved about Monday's loss to the Giants. Brian Westbrook will have a big day as the Eagles get back to their screen plays against a weak defense.
-Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins: Somewhere Dan Marino is smiling because people are again saying that the Dolphins will blowout an opponent. But the Raiders offense had -2 TOTAL yards of offense in the first half last week, so don't get too excited about the comeback. Dolphins fans can enjoy this one though.
And finally the Game of the Weekend:
-Denver Broncos at Atlanta Falcons: Both need the win to maintain a share of the lead in their respective divisions. Matt Ryan got my pro-bowl vote and has been impressive as a rookie, while Denver is battling injuries and a lack of the running game that is almost unheard of on a Mike Shanahan Broncos team. I've got the Falcons because of the home-field advantage where they have been perfect thus far this season.
Enjoy the weekend everyone!
So without further ado: this week's edition of On the Couch
Saturday: Falling asleep (this will be a long nap)
Usually, there is at least one great matchup in the college football season, especially this late in the year, but I am so bored with this week's matchups. Truthfully the best game may be North Carolina at Maryland because of its ACC implications.
Not a single one of the 11:oo games is worth watching, and the Tar Heels and Terps may be worth skipping too at 2:30. Even the night cap is lowlighted by a Boston College-Florida State matchup, although the recent suspension of 5 FSU wide receivers could make that a closer game.
I've pretty much concluded that Saturday will be my homework day, because the normal routine isn't really worth it.
Sunday: Laying back with a beer
I'm definitely more excited about Sunday's offerings on the tube. In addition to Jimmie Johnson probably wrapping up his third NASCAR Sprint Cup Championship in as many years, there are several great football matchups. I'm predicting some good old fashioned blowouts, and a few hard fought divisional games that have important momentum swings tied to their outcomes.
We'll start with the important divisional games and other games that will affect division leaders.
-Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: I can't wait to see how the Packers defense does against breakout rookie running back Matt Forte, and you know that both teams will leave it all out on the field this week for a share of the lead in the NFC North
-Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts: Yes, I am aware that the Texans have laid clunkers several times this year, but they have also shown flashes of brilliance, and led the Colts earlier this year before the epic collapse of Sage Rosenfels in a 3 minute span. Steve Slaton is dangerous, but I expect Bob Sanders will do just enough to give Indy a solid hold on second place in the AFC South, and put them well on their way to a wild card berth.
-Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars: Tough, scrappy game that will make your head hurt just watching it, but the Titans are too strong against the run for the Jaguars to win this game. Amazing stat of the day for the Titans: they have outscored their opponents nearly two-to-one with a 220-117 points for-and-against ratio. If Kerry Collins keeps throwing and Chris Johnson is able to get things restarted after a down game last week (darn him, ruined my fantasy week), this could turn into a blowout, but expect the league to be handing out fines for rough hits on Monday.
-Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins: Clinton Portis may be out, but the Cowboys have more questions than a Peter Jennings round of Jeopardy. The Cowboys running game may be the difference this week in a must win game for America's favorite team.
-San Diego Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers: Both of these teams are fighting for first place in their divisions. Antonio Cromartie will have to break out of his slump and linebacker Shaun Phillips has to get some pressure on Ben Roethlisberger for the Chargers to pull this one off in Pittsburgh.
There could also be some huge blowouts this week.
-New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs: As improved as Tyler Thigpen is at quarterback, Drew Brees will have a field day against the cornerback duo of Maurice Leggett and Brandon Carr. Could he throw for 500 yards? Maybe.
-Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers: No explanation needed, I'm predicting 34-7 at half.
-Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals: Cincinnati is improving, but the Eagles must be peaved about Monday's loss to the Giants. Brian Westbrook will have a big day as the Eagles get back to their screen plays against a weak defense.
-Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins: Somewhere Dan Marino is smiling because people are again saying that the Dolphins will blowout an opponent. But the Raiders offense had -2 TOTAL yards of offense in the first half last week, so don't get too excited about the comeback. Dolphins fans can enjoy this one though.
And finally the Game of the Weekend:
-Denver Broncos at Atlanta Falcons: Both need the win to maintain a share of the lead in their respective divisions. Matt Ryan got my pro-bowl vote and has been impressive as a rookie, while Denver is battling injuries and a lack of the running game that is almost unheard of on a Mike Shanahan Broncos team. I've got the Falcons because of the home-field advantage where they have been perfect thus far this season.
Enjoy the weekend everyone!
November 13, 2008
OVERRATED
As I was watching a BCS wrap-up show this week, I got devastating news! Robert Smith (one of the better player-turned-analysts) told me that THE Ohio State University is a likely candidate for a BCS bowl game because of the rule that prevents a conference from having 3 teams playing in BCS bowl games.
Yes, I am a huge Iowa Hawkeyes fan, which also means that aside from the Cyclones, the Buckeyes are about my least favorite team. But I still think that no team with two losses in the Big 10 should even be able to be in the same city as a BCS bowl game. I'm also clear that these two losses came to two highly-ranked teams in USC and Penn State. But let me remind you that those teams have also lost to Oregon State and Iowa respectively.
As it stands my only hope is that Utah and Boise State all win out, and that voters decide that 2 BCS-buster teams would make things exciting. Additionally, I have to root for the Dave Wann-stache-led Panthers and the Hokies to win their their conferences and break the top 16. Until then, I'm just going to complain about how the most overrated team in the most overrated conference probably will make it to a BCS bowl.
Yes, I am a huge Iowa Hawkeyes fan, which also means that aside from the Cyclones, the Buckeyes are about my least favorite team. But I still think that no team with two losses in the Big 10 should even be able to be in the same city as a BCS bowl game. I'm also clear that these two losses came to two highly-ranked teams in USC and Penn State. But let me remind you that those teams have also lost to Oregon State and Iowa respectively.
As it stands my only hope is that Utah and Boise State all win out, and that voters decide that 2 BCS-buster teams would make things exciting. Additionally, I have to root for the Dave Wann-stache-led Panthers and the Hokies to win their their conferences and break the top 16. Until then, I'm just going to complain about how the most overrated team in the most overrated conference probably will make it to a BCS bowl.
November 9, 2008
BCS gets it right
The computers frequently are criticized for getting things wrong in the BCS rankings. Frequently these attacks are justified (though many attack it too early in the season). But this week, the computers had it right. Not only did the rankings come out fairly accurately, the computer did make the better calls in ranking the top 5 teams.
Proof that the oft maligned BCS is usually correct can be found in the clear paths now paved for the likely Big 12 Champion Texas Tech Red Raiders (yes, I know they have to beat the Sooners in Norman, but have you seen the Sooners defense?) and the SEC Champion Florida Gators or Alabama Crimson Tide.
As it stands the only murky situation would be if Texas gets the bid instead of Oklahoma because of the head to head. Still, there is a clear path, so I guess all of the BCS haters should just get used to the path ahead.
Finally, the BCS was correct in putting Texas ahead of Florida and Oklahoma in the standings, even though Florida jumped the Longhorns in several polls. Yes, I know that Florida only lost by one to Ole Miss, and that Ole Miss is tougher than many people think. But Ole Miss simply is not Texas Tech. And if they beat Alabama in the SEC Championship, I don't foresee any way that they wouldn't hop Texas in the computer polls as well.
So, until we get another Auburn as a third undefeated team on the outside, you won't hear this guy complaining about the BCS championship game, even when the teams I root for are the odd men out.
Proof that the oft maligned BCS is usually correct can be found in the clear paths now paved for the likely Big 12 Champion Texas Tech Red Raiders (yes, I know they have to beat the Sooners in Norman, but have you seen the Sooners defense?) and the SEC Champion Florida Gators or Alabama Crimson Tide.
As it stands the only murky situation would be if Texas gets the bid instead of Oklahoma because of the head to head. Still, there is a clear path, so I guess all of the BCS haters should just get used to the path ahead.
Finally, the BCS was correct in putting Texas ahead of Florida and Oklahoma in the standings, even though Florida jumped the Longhorns in several polls. Yes, I know that Florida only lost by one to Ole Miss, and that Ole Miss is tougher than many people think. But Ole Miss simply is not Texas Tech. And if they beat Alabama in the SEC Championship, I don't foresee any way that they wouldn't hop Texas in the computer polls as well.
So, until we get another Auburn as a third undefeated team on the outside, you won't hear this guy complaining about the BCS championship game, even when the teams I root for are the odd men out.
November 7, 2008
Leadership
Today, I watched a brief interview with Jaguars linebacker Mike Peterson and coach Jack Del Rio. I have always liked Del Rio, who is widely regarded as one of the best players' coaches. Today cemented that he is one of the most underrated coaches in the league.
During this press conference, Peterson assured the media that he had regained the respect of his teammates and his coach after questioning Del Rio's criticism of a celebration during Sunday's loss to the Bengals.
First, I love that Del Rio called Peterson out for celebrating when the team was trailing 21 to 3 in the 3rd quarter. I have always loathed when players celebrate individual accomplishments as the team struggles, and Del Rio has always cracked down on this practice.
Next, I have a profound respect for Del Rio's response during the week. After Peterson tried to defend his actions, Del Rio booted him from the meetings and practice for Wednesday and Thursday. Then, Del Rio met with him in private to discuss the issue, cleared it up, and reinstated Peterson for practice on Friday and said that Peterson would travel with the team even though playing time for Sunday's game was still up in the air.
Peterson clearly showed in his press conference that he respected Coach Del Rio's decision, and Del Rio made it clear that the discussion between the two would remain private. This is why Del Rio has the utmost respect of his players, and why they do not go running to the media to spew locker room gossip instead of dealing with it respectfully. Hopefully, Coach Del Rio's players will bring him a much needed win this weekend for his hard work this week.
During this press conference, Peterson assured the media that he had regained the respect of his teammates and his coach after questioning Del Rio's criticism of a celebration during Sunday's loss to the Bengals.
First, I love that Del Rio called Peterson out for celebrating when the team was trailing 21 to 3 in the 3rd quarter. I have always loathed when players celebrate individual accomplishments as the team struggles, and Del Rio has always cracked down on this practice.
Next, I have a profound respect for Del Rio's response during the week. After Peterson tried to defend his actions, Del Rio booted him from the meetings and practice for Wednesday and Thursday. Then, Del Rio met with him in private to discuss the issue, cleared it up, and reinstated Peterson for practice on Friday and said that Peterson would travel with the team even though playing time for Sunday's game was still up in the air.
Peterson clearly showed in his press conference that he respected Coach Del Rio's decision, and Del Rio made it clear that the discussion between the two would remain private. This is why Del Rio has the utmost respect of his players, and why they do not go running to the media to spew locker room gossip instead of dealing with it respectfully. Hopefully, Coach Del Rio's players will bring him a much needed win this weekend for his hard work this week.
November 6, 2008
To Help Other People at All Times: The Team Player
Tonight during the Broncos-Browns game, the Broncos came back with a game-winning drive that ended with 1:14 left on the clock. The drive ended with a touchdown pass to Brandon Marshall, who then began to dig for some sort of glove for a celebration dance.
But not even this pass was the biggest play of the game. The biggest play of the game came from the veteran Brandon Stokley. Mind you that Stokley had only two catches for 16 yards the entire game, and no, neither one of those catches really mattered at all either.
Immediately after Brandon Marshall began to celebrate after his touchdown, Stokley sprinted to Marshall and urged him to stop the celebration. Understand that a 15-yard penalty would mean that they would kick from their own 15 yard line to one of the more dangerous kick returners in the NFL in Josh Cribbs, who had already come close to taking one back in the game.
I was immediately struck by Stokley's actions and couldn't help but think about how his selflessness reflected the key point of the Scout Oath: to help other people at all times. On a sports team, these kind of plays are the best reflection of Scout Oath. So many times, you hear commentators speak about not hurting your team. Just look at this game to see why this matters.
Kellen Winslow had a pretty good game on paper with 10 catches for 111 yards and 2 touchdowns, but what he did that Stokley didn't do was commit a key pass interference penalty. Nor did Stokley drop several key balls or lose a fumble for his team. Amazingly, Winslow then gripes on the sideline.
Stokley gets my gameball for being a class athlete, and one can only hope that next week will reward him with more catches.
Hammy
But not even this pass was the biggest play of the game. The biggest play of the game came from the veteran Brandon Stokley. Mind you that Stokley had only two catches for 16 yards the entire game, and no, neither one of those catches really mattered at all either.
Immediately after Brandon Marshall began to celebrate after his touchdown, Stokley sprinted to Marshall and urged him to stop the celebration. Understand that a 15-yard penalty would mean that they would kick from their own 15 yard line to one of the more dangerous kick returners in the NFL in Josh Cribbs, who had already come close to taking one back in the game.
I was immediately struck by Stokley's actions and couldn't help but think about how his selflessness reflected the key point of the Scout Oath: to help other people at all times. On a sports team, these kind of plays are the best reflection of Scout Oath. So many times, you hear commentators speak about not hurting your team. Just look at this game to see why this matters.
Kellen Winslow had a pretty good game on paper with 10 catches for 111 yards and 2 touchdowns, but what he did that Stokley didn't do was commit a key pass interference penalty. Nor did Stokley drop several key balls or lose a fumble for his team. Amazingly, Winslow then gripes on the sideline.
Stokley gets my gameball for being a class athlete, and one can only hope that next week will reward him with more catches.
Hammy
Welcome and "Mission" Statement
Hello everyone!
Welcome to my blog on sports and scouting in America. Throughout this recent election, I have noticed how the lessons of scouting and sports have been so relevant. Admittedly, at times, the connection between sports and politics is somewhat irritating, but I think the connections are worth noting. Some of my posts will reflect on modern political events. I am a self-proclaimed moderate conservative, and indeed voted for John McCain, but I will attempt to take a fairly non-partisan view in any political posts.
Next, I am also a huge fan of college football, NFL football, and Major League Baseball. While many of my posts will reflect on the value of sport in our lives, others will simply be reflections on current sporting events as well. I hope that readers will come to enjoy a fresh new take on recent sporting activities.
Finally, my reflections on scouting will largely focus on my past experience in scouting, and how I believe they can influence others. I hope that scouters will use this forum as a voice for this worthy cause. And I wish all Life scouts the best in their quest for their Eagle Scout award.
Hammy
Welcome to my blog on sports and scouting in America. Throughout this recent election, I have noticed how the lessons of scouting and sports have been so relevant. Admittedly, at times, the connection between sports and politics is somewhat irritating, but I think the connections are worth noting. Some of my posts will reflect on modern political events. I am a self-proclaimed moderate conservative, and indeed voted for John McCain, but I will attempt to take a fairly non-partisan view in any political posts.
Next, I am also a huge fan of college football, NFL football, and Major League Baseball. While many of my posts will reflect on the value of sport in our lives, others will simply be reflections on current sporting events as well. I hope that readers will come to enjoy a fresh new take on recent sporting activities.
Finally, my reflections on scouting will largely focus on my past experience in scouting, and how I believe they can influence others. I hope that scouters will use this forum as a voice for this worthy cause. And I wish all Life scouts the best in their quest for their Eagle Scout award.
Hammy
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